The Obama Doctrine
No president since Harry Truman has ruled at a time of greater change in the international system. The very foundation of Europe is cracking apart, the Iranian gambit for regional domination is faltering, the Global War on Terror is winding down, and shale energy is opening up new economic and strategic opportunities. Taken together the post-Cold War era is in its final months. Zeihan plays events forward and sketches out how the Obama administration will choose to — and be forced to — apply American power in the months and years to come
The Syrian Endgame
The Syrian civil war has entered its endgame, and the end of Alawite dominance heralds a geopolitical restructuring of the broader region. Iran’s gambit to dominate the Persian Gulf has faltered, and will likely fail, ushering in changes that will undermine America’s enemies and allies alike.
Canada: Opportunities First, then Challenges
There are few countries who have been shaped more deeply by their sense of “place” than the Canadians. For the past two centuries the Canadians have been forced to play the role the Americans have allowed for them, and at the end of an era the Canadians stand with a quiet confidence – having made the very best of a very poor hand. Now a new era is emerging. One in which American power is stronger, but less predictable. Unless, like the Canadians, you happen to understand how the Americans think. Very soon Canada’s choices will be about how to take advantage of opportunities, rather than how to avoid complications. But in this very silver lining is a very dark cloud. The same evolutions that will allow Canada unprecedented opportunities for wealth and respect also hold the possibility of destroying the Canadian state. And this time the dangers do not originate from the United States, but from within Canada itself.